That will be changing with an emerging and FBI-mandated alternative called the National Incident Based Reporting System, or NIBRS. The third way that crime is statistically minimized in Chicago is that some important crime categories are simply not included in the police department’s popular Compstat “Part 1” weekly crime summaries relied on so heavily by the mayor, the superintendent, and the media. The second is failure to note how much crime nationally – and certainly in Chicago – goes unreported to police by victims. Politicizing the baseline comparison year isn’t the only way that the volume of crime in Chicago is downplayed. Using 2021 as a comparison to 2022 is an attempt to fish for numbers – any numbers – which deflect attention from the failure of Lightfoot’s administration to make Chicago’s streets safer since everything went south in 2020. Using that yardstick, Chicago’s 2022 isn’t looking good. The better measure for major crimes like murders and shooting incidents, and anything else, is versus the last pre-Covid, pre-George Floyd year of 2019. 2021 was the worst for Chicago murders in 25 years. Yet that claim is still misleading because last year isn’t the right comparison. Murders and shooting incidents are 16 and 18 percent less than in 2021, respectively, as of last week’s end. That’s because as always this year, she accented that murders and shootings so far were down somewhat compared to last year. In a recent interview Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot sounded like she might have been acknowledging reality about Chicago crime, with a reported admission about growing trouble downtown.
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